NFL 2025 Season - Week 18
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Articles published multiple times per week, offering insights and picks on upcoming games.
 
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Week 18
Last Punch
No Way Out
Week 17
Rams for the Future
Top Seed Grab
Better Make Sure
Dream Buster
One for the Road
Complicated Conclusion
Three for Christmas
Topped Out
Right Again
Week 16
First of Three
Surprises
December Battles
New York, New York
Two for Two
Unlocked
With the Book
Medicine Cabinet
Last Call
Week 15
Home Heat
Different Objectives
Top Underdogs
Who Know What
Wrong is Right
Need and Focus
Pair of Strugglers
Friends and Foes
Sour Bite
Week 14
Time Spent
Weather Factor
With Insurance
Like Locusts
Mischievous Grin
As Good as it Gets
On a Roll
Head Hunting
Week 13
Left the Station
By Design
Looking Ahead
Here It Comes
Offense versus Defense
In Your Dreams
Oh for Three
Thanksgiving Trifecta
Just Visiting
Week 12
First in Sight
Pair of Leaders
Bears on Top
Same Old, Same Old
Exposure Reduced
History Lesson
Juggling Act
Bounce Back Big
Fade to Black
Week 11
Highs and Lows
Finally They Meet
Battle for First Place
Mission From God
Business as Usual
Under Play
Unfinished Business
Second Half Sprint
Hope for the Future
Week 10
Pack Tonight
Two Sides
NFC West War
Points Count
White Flag
Blind Spot
Seems Easy
Call Waiting
Return Meeting
Week 9
Defense Still Matters
Good Again
Returning Quarterbacks
Not So Bad
Blowouts Rule
Dolphins Dipping
Score This
Missing Score
Week 8
Expectations Leveled
Grudge Match
NFL and Gambling World Cry Foul
High Seas
Race to Five
Struggling Playoff Teams
Argue This
DeMeco Team Due
Week 7
Weighing Wins
Addition by Subtraction
Sharp or Not
Spark the Fuse
Hocus Pocus
Boarding the Jets
Cushion Crunch
Hot Meet Stout
Pedestal Perch
Week 6
Tightening Races
Arrowhead or Hammer
Missing Signal Callers
Little Boys
Special Circumstances
Then and Now
Old Versus New
Dolphins to Titans
Week 5
More to Know
Dominance in Streaks
Two Back is Hot
Spike Side
41 is Up
Bounce Back
Deal with the Devil
Cool Your Jets
Sleep Walking
Week 4
Backup to Win
Cold and Hot
Not So Obvious
Early Start
Yes We Can
New Clues
Up is Down
Dooms Night
Dead Center
Week 3
That's Entertainment
Road Trip
Perfect and Imperfect
About Time
Better Bet
Quarterback Resurgence
Cruise Control
Look of a Champion
Sitting Duck
Week 2
No Respect
QB Rivalry
Inches Short
Kidding Aside
Coaching Advantage
Turf Toe Spike
Prime Opener
Solo Act
Early Returns
Week 1
NFC North Battle
Everybody is Right
Assumptions
Happy Ending
QB Swap
Beginning of the End
Too Easy
Road Cowboys
Choose Wisely
Schedule It
Season Win Totals
Super Bowl Pick
Credit Collision
Burn in Hell
Before Relevance
No Repeats
Home and Auto
So Close
Preseason 3
Cheshire Cat Grin
Reverse Records
Clear Choice
Moving Parts
Not Ready for Prime Time
Preseason 2
Success and Failure
Jury Out
Real Competition
Quarterback Rich
Worst to First
Time to Reload
Sweet Spot
Preseason Magic
Preseason 1
Two Up, Two Down
Book Bet
Gone Fishing
Smart Rats
Early Value
Streaky
Hall of Fame
Two Good Ones
Ups and Downs
Offseason
Cause and Effect
Looking Forward
Purdy Value
Business for Profits
     
 
Better Make Sure
by Dennis Ranahan

Sunday for the Week 17 National Football League action has a lot of rain in the forecast. At five of the eight outdoor games on today’s schedule rain is in the forecast. Not severe winter weather, but the wet stuff.

When this happens, that happens … or so some would think.

The final couple weeks of a season require making sure the team you are betting on wants to win as much as you’d like them too. That was the case yesterday, where the Green Bay Packers seemed to throw up the surrender flag before the game against the Baltimore Ravens started. It’s not that Green Bay doesn’t want to end the season in a hail of confetti in their team colors next February at the conclusion of Super Bowl LX, it’s just that head coach Matt LaFleur decided before his team took the field yesterday there were bigger fish to fry down the road.

His decision to not play starting quarterback Jordan Love despite him clearing concussion protocol was the first peg in his team getting blown out at home by the in need of a win and hope to follow Ravens.

With the loss, the Chicago Bears clinch the NFC North Division title before they take the field tonight at Levi’s Stadium to meet the San Francisco 49ers. The home team is still in control of securing the top seed in the NFC for the playoffs, which would require a pair of home wins to close out the regular season tonight and next Sunday against the Seattle Seahawks.

The Bears could actually still win the top seed in the NFC but that would require them winning their last two games and getting a lot of help from other results.

If the New England Patriots beat the New York Jets in an early game, then the Buffalo Bills meeting in their afternoon contest against the Philadelphia Eagles means little to either team. If the unthinkable happens, the Jets upset the Patriots, then the Bills have a shot at the AFC East Division title.

There is also the case that when a team really wants a win and the coach is bent on doing whatever is necessary, they come out on the short end. We have two of those games today, the Pittsburgh Steelers can put to rest the AFC North Division race with a win today in Cleveland while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers need a win to assure next week’s end of the regular season contest against the Carolina Panthers still has the NFC South Division up for grabs.

The Jacksonville Jaguars need a win today to keep their sole possession of first place in the AFC South Division. The Houston Texans victory yesterday in Los Angeles has them enter today just one game back of the division leaders.

I like teams, for good reasons, that are out of the playoffs and only have an opportunity to disrupt an opponent's playoff plans. Like the Dolphins, Browns and Indianapolis Colts today against the Buccaneers, Steelers and Jaguars.

No team has been hotter over the past two months than the Jaguars, who are coming off a huge road win against the Denver Broncos and have a home game next week scheduled against the Tennessee Titans. A pair of wins and the Jaguars win their division.

The Colts will start Philip Rivers again today even though they were eliminated from a possible playoff berth by yesterday’s Houston victory. Out of the playoffs and looking to disrupt the plans of a division opponent that slammed them by 17 points three weeks ago.

Perfect.

While the Colts plus the points are our top pick this week, the public sees this game differently. The three most bet games by the public for Week 17 are the Pittsburgh Steelers (-3½) over the Cleveland Browns, Jaguars (-5½) over the Colts and Cincinnati Bengals (-7) over the Arizona Cardinals.

Our money rated plays are now posted on this site, and if a Bullet Play develops in the final hour leading up to the day’s first kickoff, that game will be added to the list of recommendations by 9:45 a.m. Pacific Time.